Posts tagged ‘polls’

July 5, 2013

US Parents Are Loath to Raise Future Politicians

by thoughtfulconservative

This is one of those polls that drives me crazy.

Mommas don’t want their babies to grow up to be politicians, a new poll finds.

U.S. parents who are pretty down on Washington and don’t want their kids anywhere near the political world.

A new Gallup poll finds that only 31 percent of Americans want their son or daughter to go into politics.

via US Parents Are Loath to Raise Future Politicians – ABC News.

Besides the non-sentence paragraph in the middle (doesn’t anyone proof-read anymore?), it starts with promise. Maybe there’s something to this. But then,

As it turns out, Americans have never really loved the idea of raising future politicians. Fewer than 30 percent of Americans have said they want their son to go into politics since the 1960s.

Sigh. So there’s no news here. It’s basically the same as it’s always been.

It kinda makes one wonder about the breathless quality of the headline.

But maybe that’s my imagination…

Nah…

June 15, 2011

‘Traditional values’ take a slip in the polls

by thoughtfulconservative

“Traditional values” didn’t do too well in the latest CNN poll of American adults. For the first time in 18 years since the question has been asked, the percentage of adults thinking that the government should “promote traditional values” dropped below 50 percent.

via ‘Traditional values’ take a slip in the polls | Keen News Service.

What the heck are “traditional values?”

CNN did not explain what it meant by “traditional values,” but in political discourse, it emerged as code for “anti-gay.” The right-wing Traditional Values Coalition defines traditional values as including the view that homosexuality is an abomination, but also includes views that are anti-abortion, pro-death penalty, and pro-religion.

And of course, these folks are usually conservative and therefore Republican. I’ve got it now.

But since the question was first asked, in 1993, responses have fluctuated dramatically.

Might they fluctuate so much because CNN doesn’t tell them what they mean by traditional values so folks have to guess. What kind of polling is this? Could this low point be just another fluctuation? What will the author say if it’s back up to say 56 per cent next time?

Notice Question 21 page 7 in the PDF file. Sixty-three per cent feel the government is trying to do too much to try and solve our problems. Maybe people are starting to figure out that government cannot promote traditional values.

February 12, 2009

Cause and Effect?

by thoughtfulconservative

Does this [Emphasis is mine throughout]

Twenty-six percent (26%) of American voters say the nation is moving in the right direction, while 66% say it is heading down the wrong track, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

The number of voters who think America is moving in the right direction is down slightly from last week’s high of 29%, but it marks the third straight week in which over a quarter of voters share that opinion despite increasing bad economic news.

stem from this?

The Rasmussen Consumer Index, which measures the economic confidence of consumers on a daily basis, fell to a new record low for the second straight day on Thursday. Just two days after Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner’s presentation of the White House financial rescue plan, the Consumer Index fell to 56.2, surpassing the all-time low set the day before. During 2008, record lows for consumer confidence were recorded on a regular basis. Consumer confidence is down two points from a week ago and one point from a month ago.

Rasmussen pegs the low to Geithner’s presentation of the rescue plan, but couldn’t it simply be the downturn/recession/depression that’s making folks nervous and causing low approval ratings?

I suppose we won’t know until we start to pull out of this mess.

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January 10, 2008

Hillary’s surprise win

by thoughtfulconservative

I don’t usually cheer Hillary Clinton victories, but in this case. There are a couple of reasons for joy.

First, anytime polls are shown to be wrong and pundits are made to look foolish by panting over each one, it just warms my heart. There is entirely too much reliance and horse race (car race in FoxNews’ case) aspects to this race. Tuesday was spent with analyzing Hillary Clinton’s tears.

Who cares? What does she believe? What does she want to do when she gets in office?

How much of that did you hear Tuesday?

Wednesday, the talk was how did the polls go wrong? Even trends and averages got it wrong. Professor Franklin does the best job I’ve seen (with illustrations) of explaining the problems. He shows how Obama’s percentage was right, it was Clinton’s they got wrong. He also shows the Republicans side was a much better result for the polls. He asks a couple of pointed questions,

If the polls were systematically flawed methodologically, then we’d expect similar errors with both parties. … So if the turnout model was bad for the Democrats, why wasn’t it also bad for the Republicans?

Of course, this gets ignored by the media, because they have 30 seconds to two or three minutes tops to explain what’s going on, or viewers eyes will begin to glaze over.

But I still don’t trust polls. My nature, I guess.

In more news among presidential candidates, dad29 links to another interesting piece on the divide between Big Biz Republicans and Mike Huckabee. Bill Richardson, a good man with a lot of experience, but unfortunately still a Democrat, will be withdrawing from the race. Depending on who wins the nomination, Richardson would make a good VP, if he wants it.

Mitt Romney is pulling his ads in SC and FL. Interesting was this opening paragraph,

Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has decided to pull his advertising from South Carolina and Florida, in a sign of trouble for a campaign that badly needs a win.

Hold on here. Romney needs a win? Does that imply he has not won yet? Because I seem to remember that he won a small state in the west, lessee, Wyoming, wasn’t it?

Fred Thompson has disappeared. Oh wait, he’s in SC, making his stand. Sen. Thompson should remember that there’s this guy called Mike Huckabee who’s a Southern Baptist pastor, and there’s more Southern Baptists in SC than people. I think it’s do or die for Thompson and Edwards in SC. If they don’t do well (=win), they’re done.

December 4, 2007

Thank God for polls

by thoughtfulconservative

Poll: GOP race in early states unsettled.

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